
在本賽季前兩輪小組賽中,组战全巴薩麵對本菲卡連輸兩個0-3 。出线巴薩的形势出線前景 ,當時可謂是拜仁一片黯淡。但如今 ,胜提萨起死回生巴薩在麵對基輔迪納摩時雙殺對手。前晋4輪過後,组战全巴薩不但積6分升到了小組第二,出线而且很有希望在下輪提前出線。形势當然,拜仁如果巴薩無法在下輪提前出線的胜提萨起死回生話,那就要在末輪客場死磕拜仁,前晋屆時紅藍軍團出局的组战全概率就非常大了。11月24日淩晨4點 ,出线巴薩將在第5輪中主場對陣本菲卡。形势對於紅藍軍團而言 ,這是“生存或者滅亡”之戰 。

在4輪過後 ,拜仁12分全勝提前出線 。巴薩、本菲卡和基輔迪納摩,則分別拿到了6分 、4分和1分 。基輔迪納摩已經喪失了競爭力,巴薩和本菲卡將會爭奪小組第二的排名 。在首次交鋒中,本菲卡曾在主場3-0大勝巴薩。
在第5輪中 ,巴薩將在主場對陣本菲卡。如果巴薩獲勝的話,積分將達到9分,本菲卡則仍然為4分 。在擁有5分優勢的情況下,巴薩將會提前一輪出線。對於巴薩而言,這是最理想的選擇。
如果巴薩無法戰勝本菲卡 ,紅藍軍團麻煩可就大了 。如果雙方戰平的話,巴薩在5輪後隻領先本菲卡2分,而紅藍軍團要在末輪客場對陣拜仁。按照歐冠規定,積分相同時先比勝負關係,而巴薩在這方麵落後於本菲卡。這意味著隻要本菲卡末輪主場戰勝基輔迪納摩,巴薩就必須在客場KO拜仁才能晉級。拜仁必然會在提前出線後派上輪換陣容 ,但以巴薩目前的實力和狀態,攻克慕尼黑的可能性仍微乎其微。
如果巴薩主場輸給本菲卡的話,那基本就沒了出線希望 。在這種情況下,本菲卡5輪後領先巴薩1分 。在末輪中 ,本菲卡隻要主場贏下基輔迪納摩就能確保出線。巴薩即便能在客場贏下拜仁,同樣要看本菲卡的臉色才行 。
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