法國隊在歐洲杯頭號死亡之組的法国首輪比賽中贏下硬仗 ，小勝德國全取3分 ，德国基本鎖定1個晉級名額。拥战而下輪法國隊將直接麵對本組最弱的略优匈牙利隊 ，高盧雄雞有望斬獲連勝，势雄末輪麵對葡萄牙從容進行戰略調整。鸡率
本屆歐洲杯F組是先飞“三超一弱”的局麵 ，由於未來6個小組中會有4個成績較好的出死小組第三晉級 ，參考上屆歐洲杯的法国成績，積3分就基本上意味著可以拿到一張淘汰賽入場券，德国因此法國隊今夜擊敗德國 ，拥战基本上是略优鎖定了一個晉級資格 。但從數學的势雄角度來講 ，法國隊隻有2輪連勝才是鸡率100%鎖定一個晉級名額 ，因此下輪比賽德尚依然要努力爭勝。先飞
雖然F組中包括德國 、法國和葡萄牙三大豪強 ，但是由於匈牙利整體實力和這三支球隊相差懸殊 ，因此德國、法國和葡萄牙隻要擊敗匈牙利 ，拿到至少3分，就基本上可以鎖定晉級資格 。而法國隊在賽程上占據比較大的優勢 ，首輪遭遇德國隊 ，次輪麵對匈牙利 ，即使首輪比賽告負 ，次輪遇到最弱球隊也可以有較大把握全取3分 ，從而不會在末輪麵對葡萄牙時有太大的心理壓力 。
現在的情況對於法國隊來說更加有利 ，首輪比賽就KO了德國隊 ，未來麵對匈牙利隊全取3分的可能性非常大 ，屆時法國隊2輪拿到6分則提前從F組中突圍，這是德國和葡萄牙在次輪比賽結束後都不太可能做到的事情。
更重要的是，由於法國隊所在小組是第三輪開球日期靠後的一個 ，所以法國隊可以靜候其他小組位次坐定以後，了解上半區和下半區對手的情況，再在末輪麵對葡萄牙時選擇是全力爭勝還是輪換劃水 。
上屆歐洲杯 ，法國隊作為東道主在A組中麵對主場球迷的壓力非常大 ，必須全勝晉級 。而從淘汰賽的賽程來看，法國隊當時是進入了整體實力更強的半區 ，如果以小組第二晉級則對手的整體實力稍遜 。如今法國隊是較晚進行第三輪比賽 ，因此德尚可以根據戰略形勢進行輪休和調整。要知道選擇一個對手實力更弱的半區非常重要 ，法國隊是小組賽就比如當成淘汰賽來打 ，即使最終成功從死亡小組中突圍，整體損耗也不小 。
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