
北京時間3月9日淩晨,欧冠歐冠1/8決賽次回合比賽就將打響。强晋在首個比賽日 ,概仅拜仁慕尼黑和利物浦將分別在主場迎戰薩爾茨堡紅牛和國際米蘭。城切
在首回合的尔西比賽中 ,8場比賽的大于結果分別為 :葡萄牙體育0-5曼城 、巴黎聖日耳曼1-0皇馬、国米薩爾斯堡紅牛1-1拜仁、欧冠國米0-2利物浦 、强晋切爾西2-0裏爾 、概仅比利亞雷亞爾1-1尤文、城切馬競1-1曼聯 、尔西以及本菲卡2-2阿賈克斯 。大于
在次回合開戰之際 ,国米大數據網站fivethirtyeight也對各隊的欧冠晉級概率進行了預測。數據統計顯示,曼城和切爾西兩隊的晉級概率超過99% ,其後的則是97%的利物浦 ,三支英超豪門也是僅有的晉級概率超過90%的球隊 。
再往下 ,83%的拜仁、80%的阿賈克斯、63%的巴黎 、56%的比利亞雷亞爾,依次排名4到7位。曼聯以51%排在第8,以上8支球隊也是晉級概率超過50%的球隊 。
晉級概率不到50%的球隊中赫然還有強隊的身影:馬競49%、尤文44%、皇馬37% 、本菲卡20% 、薩爾茨堡紅牛17% 。而首回合主場輸球的國米 ,晉級概率竟隻有可憐的3%。排名最末的是裏爾和葡萄牙體育,兩隊的晉級概率均不超過1%。
附歐冠16強晉級概率:
1 、曼城、切爾西,>99%
3、利物浦 ,97%
4、拜仁 ,83%
5、阿賈克斯 ,80%
6、巴黎 ,63%
7 、比利亞雷亞爾 ,56%
8 、曼聯,51%
9、馬競 ,49%
10 、尤文 ,44%
11 、皇馬 ,37%
12 、本菲卡 ,20%
13 、薩爾茨堡,17%
14 、國米,3%
15 、裏爾、葡體 ,<1%
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